Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 77.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 57.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 67.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
McDavid
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
44.6% (345)
+7.0%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
43.3% (97)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
43.2% (88)
-6.8%
On even strength, McDavid has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McDavid shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
McDavid
Reinhart
Home
51.8% (415)
47.9% (267)
Away
50.4% (450)
40.3% (263)
By Period
McDavid
Reinhart
P1
47.5%
45.6%
P2
51.6%
42.0%
P3
55.5%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |