Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 63.8%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 56.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 59.5%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
McDavid
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McDavid
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
McDavid
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
McDavid
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
49.4% (259)
+2.1%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
54.4% (136)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
47.9% (71)
+3.3%
On power play, McDavid has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
McDavid shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
McDavid
Reinhart
Home
50.7% (513)
54.9% (235)
Away
53.2% (498)
46.3% (231)
By Period
McDavid
Reinhart
P1
52.3%
52.3%
P2
51.6%
50.0%
P3
51.7%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |