Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Steel 50.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 59.4%
Defensive zone
Steel 63.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 58.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
McDavid
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McDavid
Steel
Last 5: McDavid 4-1 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
0
McDavid
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
McDavid
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (633)
49.7% (638)
-2.8%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
60.3% (63)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
42.4% (33)
+3.1%
On power play, McDavid has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. McDavid is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (450).
McDavid shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Home / Away
McDavid
Steel
Home
49.9% (353)
47.3% (349)
Away
45.4% (317)
53.0% (385)
By Period
McDavid
Steel
P1
46.6%
51.2%
P2
50.9%
49.8%
P3
45.9%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |