Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Steel 46.6% (+6.1%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 69.4%
Defensive zone
Steel 65.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
McDavid
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
44.6% (177)
+7.0%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
66.7% (3)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
44.8% (29)
-8.4%
On power play, Steel has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Steel is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
McDavid
Steel
Home
51.8% (415)
46.7% (90)
Away
50.4% (450)
43.7% (119)
By Period
McDavid
Steel
P1
47.5%
47.8%
P2
51.6%
47.0%
P3
55.5%
41.3%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%