Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Steel 48.8% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 55.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 68.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
McDavid
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
McDavid
Steel
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
4
McDavid
Steel
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
49.5% (553)
+2.0%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
61.3% (31)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
30.6% (49)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
McDavid
Steel
Home
50.7% (513)
46.4% (347)
Away
53.2% (498)
51.4% (286)
By Period
McDavid
Steel
P1
52.3%
52.1%
P2
51.6%
49.8%
P3
51.7%
45.2%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 09:44 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 10:18 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Sam Steel |