Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.5% vs Laughton 45.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 54.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 52.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
McDavid
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
McDavid
Laughton
Last 9: McDavid 4-5 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
2
McDavid
Laughton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (578)
43.8% (381)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
100.0% (1)
-43.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On power play, Laughton has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. McDavid is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (363).
McDavid shoots left. Laughton is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
McDavid
Laughton
Home
42.7% (323)
40.1% (172)
Away
39.5% (281)
46.8% (216)
By Period
McDavid
Laughton
P1
42.3%
46.1%
P2
37.3%
40.7%
P3
43.4%
44.8%
Final 5 min
36.8%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:00 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |