Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Laughton 50.9% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
McDavid
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
McDavid
Laughton
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
2
McDavid
Laughton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Laughton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McDavid
Laughton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
53.1% (636)
+1.2%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
63.6% (44)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
30.9% (94)
+2.4%
On power play, Laughton has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Laughton is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
McDavid
Laughton
Home
53.6% (507)
53.7% (454)
Away
53.8% (539)
47.2% (320)
By Period
McDavid
Laughton
P1
52.6%
48.4%
P2
54.1%
51.5%
P3
54.9%
53.4%
OT
44.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:49 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:03 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |