Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Laughton 50.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 68.8%
Defensive zone
Laughton 61.6%
Neutral zone
Laughton 53.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
McDavid
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
McDavid
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
52.3% (398)
-4.6%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
51.4% (37)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
41.3% (63)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Laughton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
McDavid
Laughton
Home
47.3% (387)
51.2% (285)
Away
48.1% (389)
50.2% (213)
By Period
McDavid
Laughton
P1
47.6%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
55.9%
P3
45.0%
47.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |