Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Laughton 49.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 65.5%
Defensive zone
Laughton 60.0%
Neutral zone
Laughton 52.6%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
McDavid
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
McDavid
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
49.1% (761)
+2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
49.3% (69)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
47.6% (147)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Laughton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
McDavid
Laughton
Home
51.8% (415)
50.7% (485)
Away
50.4% (450)
47.2% (492)
By Period
McDavid
Laughton
P1
47.5%
46.5%
P2
51.6%
51.1%
P3
55.5%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |