Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Laughton 56.0% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 83.5%
Defensive zone
Laughton 83.5%
Neutral zone
Laughton 50.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
McDavid
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
McDavid
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
55.2% (455)
-7.7%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
75.0% (4)
-26.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
62.8% (137)
-16.3%
On power play, Laughton has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Laughton is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
McDavid
Laughton
Home
50.2% (400)
57.4% (263)
Away
44.7% (365)
56.8% (333)
By Period
McDavid
Laughton
P1
47.5%
55.3%
P2
48.6%
61.4%
P3
46.7%
53.5%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |