Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Laughton 47.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 10-0 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 82.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 57.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
McDavid
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
0
(10 meetings)
10
0
McDavid
Laughton
Last 10: McDavid 10-0 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
0
McDavid
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
0
McDavid
Laughton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
47.4% (719)
+4.1%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
50.4% (129)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
45.0% (229)
+6.2%
On power play, McDavid has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Laughton is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Home / Away
McDavid
Laughton
Home
50.7% (513)
50.2% (520)
Away
53.2% (498)
44.5% (557)
By Period
McDavid
Laughton
P1
52.3%
44.2%
P2
51.6%
49.1%
P3
51.7%
48.4%
OT
100.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
56.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |