Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 78.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
McDavid
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
49.4% (445)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
100.0% (3)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
41.9% (117)
-5.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kuraly
Home
51.8% (415)
49.2% (248)
Away
50.4% (450)
47.3% (317)
By Period
McDavid
Kuraly
P1
47.5%
48.3%
P2
51.6%
44.7%
P3
55.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%