Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 80.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 60.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
McDavid
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McDavid
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
McDavid
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
55.3% (515)
-7.6%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
55.6% (9)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
44.8% (58)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kuraly
Home
47.3% (387)
57.3% (293)
Away
48.1% (389)
51.2% (289)
By Period
McDavid
Kuraly
P1
47.6%
53.8%
P2
50.0%
51.5%
P3
45.0%
57.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |