Connor McDavid vs Sean Kuraly

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sean Kuraly holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.8% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor Kuraly leads 23-14 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 90.8%
Defensive zone Kuraly 57.4%
Neutral zone McDavid 67.0%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
McDavid Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
14 - 23 (37 meetings)
14
23
McDavid Kuraly
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Kuraly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
13
McDavid Kuraly
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
9
10
McDavid Kuraly
19 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
51.5% (5,141)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
56.0% (100)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
44.2% (1,086)
-0.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +4.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kuraly
Home
49.3% (4,570)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
McDavid
Kuraly
P1
46.5%
51.1%
P2
48.7%
49.9%
P3
48.3%
50.0%
OT
40.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.1%
49.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
47.7%
Kuraly
64.0%
57.0%
50.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 31, 2025 3 02:26 Defensive Sean Kuraly
Dec 31, 2025 2 07:05 Neutral Connor McDavid
Dec 5, 2024 1 09:37 Defensive Sean Kuraly
Feb 25, 2023 3 14:56 Neutral Connor McDavid
Feb 25, 2023 3 00:14 Neutral Sean Kuraly
Feb 25, 2023 3 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Feb 25, 2023 2 07:50 Defensive Sean Kuraly
Feb 25, 2023 1 04:15 Defensive Sean Kuraly
Feb 25, 2023 1 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Jan 25, 2023 1 00:00 Neutral Sean Kuraly
Apr 24, 2022 3 09:14 Neutral Sean Kuraly
Apr 24, 2022 3 06:49 Neutral Connor McDavid
Apr 24, 2022 3 04:02 Defensive Sean Kuraly
Apr 24, 2022 3 00:00 Neutral Sean Kuraly
Apr 24, 2022 2 17:48 Defensive Connor McDavid
Apr 24, 2022 1 18:07 Defensive Sean Kuraly
Apr 24, 2022 1 12:45 Defensive Sean Kuraly
Apr 24, 2022 1 00:16 Defensive Connor McDavid
Apr 24, 2022 1 00:00 Neutral Sean Kuraly
Dec 16, 2021 3 10:11 Defensive Sean Kuraly