Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Crosby 52.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 56.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 54.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
McDavid
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
McDavid
Crosby
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
6
McDavid
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
McDavid
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
3
McDavid
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
50.8% (1,169)
+3.5%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
60.2% (261)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
45.0% (20)
-11.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
McDavid
Crosby
Home
53.6% (507)
53.2% (726)
Away
53.8% (539)
51.7% (724)
By Period
McDavid
Crosby
P1
52.6%
51.3%
P2
54.1%
52.1%
P3
54.9%
54.1%
OT
44.4%
45.8%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 04:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |