Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Crosby 57.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 63.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 64.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
McDavid
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
McDavid
Crosby
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
4
McDavid
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
2
McDavid
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
57.8% (1,437)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
60.9% (381)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
50.0% (54)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
McDavid
Crosby
Home
51.8% (415)
59.2% (985)
Away
50.4% (450)
57.2% (887)
By Period
McDavid
Crosby
P1
47.5%
57.3%
P2
51.6%
59.5%
P3
55.5%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |