Connor McDavid vs Sidney Crosby
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 42 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Crosby 53.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 68-55 in 123 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 79.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 78.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 77.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
McDavid
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
55
-
68
(123 meetings)
55
68
McDavid
Crosby
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
15
27
McDavid
Crosby
42 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
11
10
McDavid
Crosby
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
29
31
McDavid
Crosby
60 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
52.8% (17,990)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
57.4% (4,733)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
47.1% (765)
-3.7%
On power play, Crosby has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
McDavid
Crosby
Home
49.3% (4,570)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
McDavid
Crosby
P1
46.5%
53.6%
P2
48.7%
53.9%
P3
48.3%
53.3%
OT
40.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |