Connor McDavid vs Sidney Crosby

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sidney Crosby holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.9% vs Crosby 55.5% (-8.3%)
H2H factor McDavid leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Crosby 86.9%
Defensive zone Crosby 69.1%
Neutral zone Crosby 77.5%
Result Sidney Crosby favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
McDavid Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 4 (11 meetings)
7
4
McDavid Crosby
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Crosby

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
McDavid Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
2
McDavid Crosby
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
53.7% (984)
-6.2%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
64.7% (241)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
64.3% (14)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +17.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
McDavid
Crosby
Home
50.2% (400)
56.9% (649)
Away
44.7% (365)
54.9% (590)
By Period
McDavid
Crosby
P1
47.5%
55.8%
P2
48.6%
53.2%
P3
46.7%
58.7%
OT
33.3%
54.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%
50.0%
47.6%
Crosby
64.0%
54.5%
55.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 22, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Sidney Crosby
Jan 22, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Jan 22, 2026 1 10:54 Defensive Connor McDavid
Jan 22, 2026 1 08:15 Defensive Sidney Crosby
Jan 22, 2026 1 03:43 Neutral Connor McDavid
Jan 22, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Dec 16, 2025 3 16:06 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 16, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Sidney Crosby
Dec 16, 2025 1 17:29 Defensive Sidney Crosby
Dec 16, 2025 1 14:01 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 16, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid