Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Crosby 52.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 84.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 61.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 62.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
McDavid
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
McDavid
Crosby
Last 9: McDavid 6-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
1
McDavid
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
52.5% (1,443)
-1.0%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
54.7% (369)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
55.9% (34)
-4.7%
On power play, McDavid has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
McDavid
Crosby
Home
50.7% (513)
53.0% (931)
Away
53.2% (498)
53.0% (915)
By Period
McDavid
Crosby
P1
52.3%
50.3%
P2
51.6%
55.4%
P3
51.7%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |