Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Gourde 49.7% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 69.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 58.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
McDavid
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
51.2% (469)
-3.5%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
42.9% (21)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
37.5% (48)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
McDavid
Gourde
Home
47.3% (387)
47.8% (301)
Away
48.1% (389)
51.9% (237)
By Period
McDavid
Gourde
P1
47.6%
47.3%
P2
50.0%
53.4%
P3
45.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%