Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Frost 48.7% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
McMichael 50.5%
Defensive zone
Frost 53.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
McMichael
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
47.4% (426)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
63.9% (36)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
20.0% (5)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McMichael shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
McMichael
Frost
Home
42.7% (178)
51.1% (221)
Away
43.1% (167)
45.9% (246)
By Period
McMichael
Frost
P1
40.7%
47.5%
P2
50.0%
52.3%
P3
36.9%
44.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%