Connor McMichael vs Morgan Frost

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Morgan Frost holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.8% vs Frost 55.7% (-13.6%)
Offensive zone Frost 78.7%
Defensive zone McMichael 71.9%
Neutral zone Frost 51.6%
Result Morgan Frost favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
McMichael Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
54.9% (701)
-12.5%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
60.8% (166)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
100.0% (5)
-59.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +59.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Frost shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
McMichael
Frost
Home
43.0% (298)
56.0% (443)
Away
42.5% (252)
56.6% (429)
By Period
McMichael
Frost
P1
46.5%
58.9%
P2
41.1%
55.3%
P3
41.3%
54.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
51.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%
45.0%
42.7%
Frost
62.0%
59.0%
56.3%