Connor McMichael vs Morgan Frost

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Morgan Frost holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.3% vs Frost 50.3% (-7.4%)
H2H factor Frost leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone McMichael 66.8%
Defensive zone McMichael 84.3%
Neutral zone McMichael 77.5%
Result Connor McMichael favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
McMichael Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 7 (10 meetings)
3
7
McMichael Frost
Last 10: McMichael 3-7 Frost

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
McMichael Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
1
McMichael Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
McMichael Frost
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
49.4% (3,598)
-6.3%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
55.5% (625)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
52.8% (36)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +14.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Frost shoots left. McMichael is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
McMichael shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
McMichael
Frost
Home
42.6% (976)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
43.3% (904)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
McMichael
Frost
P1
43.3%
50.8%
P2
43.2%
51.1%
P3
41.9%
48.5%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.8%
48.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%
45.0%
42.9%
Frost
62.0%
59.0%
50.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 23, 2024 2 00:27 Defensive Connor McMichael
Oct 22, 2024 3 08:26 Defensive Connor McMichael
Apr 16, 2024 2 02:36 Offensive Morgan Frost
Apr 16, 2024 1 06:52 Offensive Morgan Frost
Apr 16, 2024 1 02:07 Defensive Morgan Frost
Mar 1, 2024 2 15:26 Defensive Connor McMichael
Mar 1, 2024 2 07:16 Neutral Morgan Frost
Mar 1, 2024 1 14:51 Neutral Morgan Frost
Mar 1, 2024 1 05:00 Offensive Morgan Frost
Mar 1, 2024 1 03:35 Offensive Morgan Frost