Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Frost 51.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 84.0%
Defensive zone
Frost 69.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 71.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
McMichael
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McMichael
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
50.3% (825)
-6.6%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
54.9% (204)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
50.0% (4)
+2.9%
On even strength, Frost has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. McMichael is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
McMichael shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
McMichael
Frost
Home
42.6% (54)
50.7% (489)
Away
50.9% (55)
51.7% (544)
By Period
McMichael
Frost
P1
42.9%
53.6%
P2
40.5%
47.8%
P3
57.1%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |