Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Reinhart 48.8% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 54.9%
Defensive zone
McMichael 58.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 51.7%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
McMichael
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McMichael
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
McMichael
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
48.0% (275)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
48.1% (52)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
53.1% (32)
-53.1%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McMichael is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (122).
McMichael shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
McMichael
Reinhart
Home
42.7% (178)
49.8% (201)
Away
43.1% (167)
46.8% (158)
By Period
McMichael
Reinhart
P1
40.7%
54.8%
P2
50.0%
40.5%
P3
36.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |