Connor McMichael vs Sam Reinhart

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.9% vs 43.1%). Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McMichael wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.3% vs Reinhart 43.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor Reinhart leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Reinhart 51.6%
Defensive zone McMichael 55.2%
Neutral zone McMichael 50.4%
Result Connor McMichael favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
McMichael Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 6 (10 meetings)
4
6
McMichael Reinhart
Last 10: McMichael 4-6 Reinhart

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
4
McMichael Reinhart
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McMichael Reinhart
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael Reinhart
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
42.5% (2,173)
+0.6%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
46.5% (525)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
41.3% (339)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +3.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (628).
McMichael shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
McMichael
Reinhart
Home
42.6% (976)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
43.3% (904)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
McMichael
Reinhart
P1
43.3%
44.5%
P2
43.2%
40.5%
P3
41.9%
44.5%
OT
75.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
42.8%
42.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%
45.0%
42.9%
Reinhart
40.0%
39.0%
43.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 17, 2026 3 00:17 Defensive Connor McMichael
Jan 17, 2026 2 11:50 Neutral Connor McMichael
Feb 24, 2024 3 19:49 Defensive Connor McMichael
Feb 24, 2024 3 09:04 Defensive Sam Reinhart
Feb 24, 2024 2 19:53 Defensive Sam Reinhart
Feb 24, 2024 2 15:30 Offensive Sam Reinhart
Feb 24, 2024 2 12:33 Offensive Sam Reinhart
Feb 8, 2024 3 05:25 Offensive Connor McMichael
Nov 8, 2023 2 05:57 Offensive Sam Reinhart
Nov 4, 2021 1 19:17 Offensive Sam Reinhart