Connor McMichael vs Sam Reinhart
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.9% vs 43.1%). Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McMichael wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Reinhart 43.3% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Reinhart leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 51.6%
Defensive zone
McMichael 55.2%
Neutral zone
McMichael 50.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
McMichael
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
McMichael
Reinhart
Last 10: McMichael 4-6 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
4
McMichael
Reinhart
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McMichael
Reinhart
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
42.5% (2,173)
+0.6%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
46.5% (525)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
41.3% (339)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (628).
McMichael shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
McMichael
Reinhart
Home
42.6% (976)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
43.3% (904)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
McMichael
Reinhart
P1
43.3%
44.5%
P2
43.2%
40.5%
P3
41.9%
44.5%
OT
75.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
42.8%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |