Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
McMichael 62.6%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 70.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 59.9%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
McMichael
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
44.1% (324)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
40.3% (72)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
33.9% (118)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, McMichael has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McMichael is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (39).
McMichael shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
McMichael
Reinhart
Home
42.6% (54)
40.5% (232)
Away
50.9% (55)
41.8% (282)
By Period
McMichael
Reinhart
P1
42.9%
46.4%
P2
40.5%
32.6%
P3
57.1%
45.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
46.8%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
41.2%