Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 54.7%
Defensive zone
McMichael 64.9%
Neutral zone
McMichael 51.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
McMichael
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McMichael
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
39.0% (77)
+3.4%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
35.4% (48)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
40.9% (22)
-0.3%
On power play, McMichael has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
McMichael shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
McMichael
Reinhart
Home
43.0% (298)
35.7% (84)
Away
42.5% (252)
41.3% (63)
By Period
McMichael
Reinhart
P1
46.5%
42.6%
P2
41.1%
34.7%
P3
41.3%
37.3%
Final 5 min
44.0%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |