Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.0% vs 42.7%). McMichael wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.2% vs Novak 44.9% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Novak 69.3%
Defensive zone
McMichael 71.7%
Neutral zone
McMichael 50.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
McMichael
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (367)
41.7% (206)
+1.1%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
52.6% (19)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. McMichael is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (332).
McMichael shoots left. Novak is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
McMichael
Novak
Home
43.4% (267)
44.9% (118)
Away
42.5% (221)
40.2% (107)
By Period
McMichael
Novak
P1
46.2%
41.5%
P2
41.3%
44.0%
P3
42.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%