Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.7% vs 41.8%). McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Novak 43.4% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 73.7%
Defensive zone
McMichael 68.5%
Neutral zone
McMichael 52.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
McMichael
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
41.4% (379)
+1.0%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
46.9% (32)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
McMichael
Novak
Home
43.0% (298)
42.6% (195)
Away
42.5% (252)
41.2% (216)
By Period
McMichael
Novak
P1
46.5%
42.4%
P2
41.1%
39.2%
P3
41.3%
44.7%
Final 5 min
44.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%