Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Novak 46.5% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Novak 50.4%
Defensive zone
McMichael 59.0%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.2%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
McMichael
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
43.2% (118)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
47.8% (23)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McMichael shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
McMichael
Novak
Home
42.7% (178)
50.7% (71)
Away
43.1% (167)
37.1% (70)
By Period
McMichael
Novak
P1
40.7%
44.7%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
36.9%
38.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%