Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +22.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 50.5% vs Novak 45.6% (+22.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 54.8%
Defensive zone
Novak 64.1%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
McMichael
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
66.7% (3)
43.8% (384)
+22.9%
On even strength, McMichael has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
McMichael
Novak
Home
100.0% (1)
46.5% (202)
Away
50.0% (2)
42.5% (200)
By Period
McMichael
Novak
P1
100.0%
49.2%
P2
100.0%
44.2%
P3
0.0%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
66.7%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%