Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Staal 56.8% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 83.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 52.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Lazar
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lazar
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
58.9% (1,041)
-7.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
53.4% (73)
-53.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
49.1% (171)
-11.3%
On power play, Staal has a +53.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Lazar
Staal
Home
43.5% (131)
59.0% (578)
Away
53.7% (147)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Lazar
Staal
P1
53.8%
57.1%
P2
50.5%
60.9%
P3
41.2%
55.8%
OT
100.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
46.3%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |