Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Staal 54.2% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Lazar 50.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Lazar
Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
57.0% (1,017)
-5.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
57.7% (26)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
45.1% (286)
+2.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Lazar
Staal
Home
49.7% (163)
54.3% (667)
Away
52.3% (237)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Lazar
Staal
P1
46.9%
56.2%
P2
53.3%
57.0%
P3
53.3%
49.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%