Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Staal 55.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 59.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 54.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Lazar
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lazar
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Lazar
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
56.3% (1,115)
-3.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
61.2% (67)
+38.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
52.1% (292)
-18.8%
On power play, Lazar has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Lazar
Staal
Home
57.1% (119)
58.3% (705)
Away
47.1% (153)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Lazar
Staal
P1
53.1%
54.5%
P2
52.2%
58.2%
P3
48.8%
54.1%
Final 5 min
42.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |