Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Staal 54.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 56.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 84.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 72.2%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Lazar
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lazar
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
56.1% (955)
+7.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
66.9% (142)
-66.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
43.0% (242)
+13.3%
On power play, Staal has a +66.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Lazar
Staal
Home
63.3% (128)
55.4% (663)
Away
59.3% (118)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Lazar
Staal
P1
64.6%
55.1%
P2
60.5%
54.7%
P3
59.0%
53.9%
Final 5 min
68.4%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |