Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Staal 57.6% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 61.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 55.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 60.8%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Lazar
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lazar
Staal
Last 8: Lazar 2-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Lazar
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Lazar
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
58.9% (1,096)
-10.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
68.4% (57)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
51.8% (222)
-1.8%
On power play, Staal has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Lazar
Staal
Home
49.2% (189)
57.0% (646)
Away
48.3% (176)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Lazar
Staal
P1
50.8%
55.9%
P2
45.2%
55.4%
P3
50.0%
62.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |