Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs McCarron 53.4% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
McCarron 57.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 52.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Lazar
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
57.5% (308)
-6.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
32.6% (43)
+5.2%
On power play, McCarron has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lazar is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Lazar shoots right. McCarron is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Lazar
McCarron
Home
43.5% (131)
48.3% (147)
Away
53.7% (147)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Lazar
McCarron
P1
53.8%
53.4%
P2
50.5%
59.5%
P3
41.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%