Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs McCarron 54.9% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
Lazar 51.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 56.8%
Neutral zone
McCarron 52.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Lazar
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
62.8% (86)
-9.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
44.4% (18)
-11.1%
On power play, Lazar has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lazar is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Lazar shoots right. McCarron is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Lazar
McCarron
Home
57.1% (119)
59.5% (42)
Away
47.1% (153)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Lazar
McCarron
P1
53.1%
71.0%
P2
52.2%
48.7%
P3
48.8%
61.1%
Final 5 min
42.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%