Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs McCarron 54.0% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Lazar 66.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 68.6%
Neutral zone
McCarron 53.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Lazar
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
54.2% (756)
-2.8%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
55.6% (9)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
55.1% (158)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lazar is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Lazar
McCarron
Home
49.7% (163)
54.6% (445)
Away
52.3% (237)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Lazar
McCarron
P1
46.9%
53.6%
P2
53.3%
55.6%
P3
53.3%
53.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%