Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs McCarron 52.8% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 62.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 50.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 57.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Lazar
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lazar
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Lazar
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Lazar
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
54.5% (618)
-5.8%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
42.1% (19)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
35.3% (34)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Lazar
McCarron
Home
49.2% (189)
52.2% (339)
Away
48.3% (176)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Lazar
McCarron
P1
50.8%
53.5%
P2
45.2%
50.6%
P3
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |