Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs McCarron 52.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 82.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 62.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 68.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Lazar
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
53.1% (672)
+10.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
18.2% (11)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
53.7% (205)
+2.6%
On power play, McCarron has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lazar is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Lazar shoots right. McCarron is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Lazar
McCarron
Home
63.3% (128)
52.8% (477)
Away
59.3% (118)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Lazar
McCarron
P1
64.6%
56.5%
P2
60.5%
53.2%
P3
59.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
68.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |