Curtis Lazar vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 83.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 69.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Lazar
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Lazar
MacKinnon
Last 10: Lazar 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
5
2
Lazar
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
46.1% (11,218)
+4.1%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
53.3% (1,412)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
42.8% (502)
-0.9%
On even strength, Lazar has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Lazar
MacKinnon
Home
50.1% (1,542)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Lazar
MacKinnon
P1
48.9%
47.4%
P2
48.9%
46.6%
P3
49.5%
46.1%
OT
56.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
49.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 11:45 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 26, 2020 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |