Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 76.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 69.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Lazar
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
45.8% (755)
+5.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
48.3% (60)
-48.3%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
27.6% (29)
+10.2%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lazar is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Lazar shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Lazar
MacKinnon
Home
43.5% (131)
49.5% (396)
Away
53.7% (147)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Lazar
MacKinnon
P1
53.8%
50.2%
P2
50.5%
43.8%
P3
41.2%
41.4%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%