Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 55.9% vs MacKinnon 50.7% (+7.9%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 82.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 85.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Lazar
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
60.4% (139)
49.1% (825)
+11.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
65.4% (130)
-65.4%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (66)
34.5% (29)
+21.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +65.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lazar is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Lazar shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Lazar
MacKinnon
Home
63.0% (127)
52.6% (489)
Away
51.9% (79)
49.1% (495)
By Period
Lazar
MacKinnon
P1
60.6%
50.3%
P2
59.7%
52.6%
P3
55.6%
49.2%
Final 5 min
67.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
58.7%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%