Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 79.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 84.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Lazar
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
50.0% (992)
+13.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
64.9% (148)
-64.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
34.4% (32)
+21.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +64.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lazar is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Lazar shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Lazar
MacKinnon
Home
63.3% (128)
53.3% (591)
Away
59.3% (118)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Lazar
MacKinnon
P1
64.6%
49.9%
P2
60.5%
53.2%
P3
59.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
68.4%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%