Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 73.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Lazar
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
49.2% (1,266)
+2.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
54.9% (193)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
49.1% (55)
-1.9%
On power play, Lazar has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lazar is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Lazar
MacKinnon
Home
49.7% (163)
50.9% (740)
Away
52.3% (237)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Lazar
MacKinnon
P1
46.9%
50.9%
P2
53.3%
51.8%
P3
53.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%