Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Paul 50.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 56.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 55.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Lazar
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lazar
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Lazar
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Lazar
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
53.0% (644)
-1.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
37.5% (24)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
42.9% (177)
-5.1%
On power play, Paul has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Lazar
Paul
Home
43.5% (131)
52.5% (516)
Away
53.7% (147)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Lazar
Paul
P1
53.8%
47.6%
P2
50.5%
48.4%
P3
41.2%
54.5%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Nick Paul |