Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Paul 53.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 81.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 55.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 61.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Lazar
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lazar
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
53.1% (710)
-4.4%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
57.3% (199)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
58.0% (69)
-8.0%
On power play, Paul has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Lazar
Paul
Home
49.2% (189)
56.0% (466)
Away
48.3% (176)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Lazar
Paul
P1
50.8%
57.2%
P2
45.2%
54.9%
P3
50.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |