Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Paul 53.3% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Paul 73.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 69.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Lazar
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
53.2% (327)
+10.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.4% (57)
-61.4%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
50.0% (32)
+6.3%
On power play, Paul has a +61.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Lazar
Paul
Home
63.3% (128)
54.6% (183)
Away
59.3% (118)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Lazar
Paul
P1
64.6%
56.3%
P2
60.5%
54.8%
P3
59.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
68.4%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%