Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Paul 53.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 55.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 62.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 54.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Lazar
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lazar
Paul
Last 7: Lazar 3-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Lazar
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
53.8% (753)
-0.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
58.9% (90)
+41.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
47.4% (78)
-14.1%
On power play, Lazar has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Lazar
Paul
Home
57.1% (119)
54.2% (450)
Away
47.1% (153)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Lazar
Paul
P1
53.1%
58.2%
P2
52.2%
50.6%
P3
48.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
42.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Nick Paul |